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greg_deterrence_200i_vs_400m

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testcases/emulator_verified/greg_deterrence_200i_vs_400m.json

Testcases1
Runs Seen4
First Seen9/8
Last Seen9/29

Prospective five-outcome S2 positive-contribution probe. minxxx fullGreg1/1/0 and200 T6 Infantry attacks WIP nohero400 T6 Marksmen. One persistent enemy class avoids prior target dilution; Infantry source distinguishes all-troop S2 eligibility from Marksman-only scope. S1 chance retained, S3 actually locked. Preserve exact fresh full reportstats, reportidentity, all individual outcomes, Battle Details and per-line survivors. Frozen design and models in docs/mechanics-audit/probes/greg-deterrence/.

Latest-Run Stats

PassP
Testcdf_support
μ sim-111.3300
μ game-110.6000
bias %-0.12%
n sim1000
n game5
t0.073
q—
Waivedno

Bias % Over Time

Armies Under Test

Attacker heroes: Greg · Defender heroes: (none)

Attacker

[ARK]Piddlyminxxx

Heroes

  • Gregs1=1 / s2=1 / s3=0

Troops

  • infantry_t6: 200

Stats

ClassAtkDefLethHp
inf308.2300.5244.0238.4
lanc294.9293.7224.3230.0
mark375.8376.3235.8230.3

Defender

[BBQ]XxWIPxX

Heroes

(no heroes)

Troops

  • marksman_t6: 400

Stats

ClassAtkDefLethHp
inf248.2249.0186.3191.8
lanc208.5207.4186.8181.9
mark217.5210.6181.4177.0

Expected Battle Reports

game_report_result (ground truth)

#Attacker lossesDefender losses
10113
20108
30109
40113
50110

Run History

RunStartAdjS nG nS μG μBias%tqPW
2f59ae699/29—10005-111.3-110.6-0.12%0.07—P—
977918589/25—10005-111.3-110.6-0.12%0.07—P—
9fa2b4ec9/25—10005-111.3-110.6-0.12%0.07—P—
002e2b2e9/8—10005-111.3-110.6-0.12%0.07—P—